Posts about Fairgrounds
 

Somewhat Annoying with Pockets of Fantastic


A game Circular Quay training with Pleasant Strike at Belmont October 2006 (Sarah K. Andrew)

My apologies for all the typos in my rush job of a picks post… as usual I waited just a bit too long to before starting the post, not that unlike Evening Attire out of the gate!

While I didn’t have a stellar day (I’ve had worse), I did manage to cash 2 tickets, predict Daytona would show, Pyro would win and unexpectedly got to see a glimmer of hope for the handicap division!

As I feared, Euroears was the real deal… and an impressive real deal at that. I’m looking to forward to seeing him again, no doubt in graded company.

The New Orleans Handicap was both annoying and fantastic. During the parade I had noticed that Circular Quay looked great, really sharp and ready to go… Brass Hat on the other hand looked like he was ready for a nap. I literally laughed out loud but decided to keep with my plan (like an idiot), which was to box Silver Lord (who dumped his rider out of the gate) and Brass Hat… end annoying part.

With no Silver Lord it was Grasshopper and Magna Graduate setting the fractions. At one point Magna Graduate took over but a hard held Circular Quay was uncorked at the top of the stretch and the fantastic part of the race unfurled! What a stretch duel, going back and forth between them… Circular Quay is back on form!

It was fitting that his win came on the same day as the Louisiana Derby, the site of his last victory. As the guy beside me said, “now maybe Pletcher won’t be afraid to run him at two turns.” I should also mention that I had Reporting for Duty across the board, which didn’t even pay for the ticket since he showed (I didn’t really think that one through… back to annoying).

Moving on, I overlooked the winner of the Mervyn Muniz but had noted that he liked yielding turf and had won off taking a month off. I did have French Beret across the board, which significantly cut into my loses and as predicted Daytona set the fractions and then dropped. It looked like French Beret could have caught Proudinsky with a bit more distance.

For fun I boxed Acacia and Wisconsin Girl… what if Indian Blessing and Proud Spell had unseated their riders too? Go Proud Spell! I thought she would do it in the Silverbulletday but she did it today and she did it with authority.

As for the Louisiana Derby, I’m sure I’m not alone in saying that I would wagered differently had I thought J Be K would rate against soft fractions. I dismissed both My Pal Charlie and Yankee Bravo thinking that they needed a slower pace to perform well. At least I can take some solace in getting that right! Instead I put Pyro over Blackberry Road and Unbridled Vicar thinking they would benefit from a fast pace. Ugh. I also exacta boxed J Be K, Majestic Warrior and Tale of Ekati… basically my wildcard box.

Losing tickets aside, Pyro turned in a nice performance… I can’t wait to see him and War Pass duke it out! I’m willing to give Take of Ekati and Majestic Warrior another race, that wasn’t exactly the easiest spot for a debut.

Posted by dana on Mar 08 2008    
Filed Under: Wrap Up, Majestic Warrior, Fairgrounds, 2008, Proud Spell, Indian Blessing, Sarah K. Andrew, Grasshopper, Derby Trail, Gambling, Handicapping, Circular Quay, Come Back, Racing

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Quickly Now


Brass Hat winning the Mass Cap (Imfedore)

I was finally able to do some handicapping this morning and am off to “the office” to play the Fairgrounds card. Things over at Take Back The Race are progressing nicely, it’s really great to read all the comments. I’ll be posting some more banners here for folks to grab and display later this weekend… on to the picks!

Duncan Kenner

Euroears looks tough and Noonmark looks promising but I’m going to go with Semephore Man. He’s held his own with both Bordonaro and Diabolical (who just crushed at Nad Al Sheba). His works are also fantastic! My questions about him are can he ship and can he rate? He’s definitely the horse for the distance and I’m gonna take my shot with him. King of the Roxy is a wild card to me here, he should do well at the distance and he’s won off a break so I may use him too.

Picks: Semaphore Man
New Orleans Handicap

Grasshopper looks tough to beat, but you know I’m gonna try… and I’m gonna try with Brass Hat! I think the pace will be on the slow side with Silver Lord leading the way and Brass Hat is the only one, aside from Grasshopper, who has done well off a slow pace. I would consider Magna Graduate but I think he needs a faster pace. Circular Quay is a bit of wild card but I’m hoping he takes some sentimental money (but I’m sure Brass Hat will too). Reporting for Duty has put in two nice efforts and could do well off a soft pace too.

Picks: Brass Hat
Mervyn Muniz

I love a turf race when it’s soft! I liked Daytona last out and of course think he has a shot here but I really like Brilliant and Fracas. Both like it soft and both have gone up against some stiff competition. I love Brilliant’s odds and his last race Saratoga was on rock hard turf so I’m expecting him to really improve here + he’s improved off a break in the past. Fracas training pattern looks like he might run a big one + he’s placed to Dylan Thomas and likes it soft.

Picks: Brilliant, Fracas, Daytona

I’m taking a pass on the Fairground Oaks, it’s either gonna be Indian Blessing or Proud Spell, take your pick. If it’s one of the other two I’ll be supremely bummed that I didn’t have her.

Louisiana Derby

Finally, a Derby prep with some pace! I’m not sure if what I’m gonna do here because Take of Ekati and Majestic Warrior are big wild cards. Both have been training well and will benefit from J Be K’s pace, as will Pyro. The pace should also help Unbridled Vicar and Blackberry Road so who knows! I think Pyro will win it but I wouldn’t be surprised if any of the aforementioned colts won. I’m not sure Stevil, My Pal Charlie or Yankee Bravo can handle what looks to be a fast pace.

Picks: Pyro, Majestic Warrior, J Be K, Take of Ekati (in any order really)

Best of luck to all!

Posted by dana on Mar 08 2008    
Filed Under: 2008, Fairgrounds, Picks, Indian Blessing, Proud Spell, Take Back the Race, Pyro, Majestic Warrior, Handicapping, Derby Trail, Circular Quay, Turf, Grasshopper, 3yo, Racing

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See You This Weekend…


Majestic Warrior schooling in the paddock at Saratoga (Jessie Holmes)

I may have to sneak over the office this weekend to play the extremely enticing Saturday Fairgrounds card. In addition to a full card, this weekend is also Pool 2 in the Futures wagers.

The Louisana Derby is the debut for several very promising 3 year olds…

There’s Majestic Warrior (pictured above - Hopeful):


Tale of Ekati (Futurity Stakes):


The field also includes undefeated west coast shipper Yankee Bravo, undefeated Zayat Stables J Be K, and a host of youngins that could be teetering on a breakout race such as Unbridled Vicar (my fav second stringer), Blackberry Road, local My Pal Charlie and the extremely fully loaded combo of LaPenta/Zito’s Stevil.

There’s someone else though… who is it? Hmmm, I know there was someone else.

Ah yes, Pyro:


It looks like there might actually be some pace in this race with J Be K, although his prior two were sprints so we’ll see. Is it just me or is War Pass the only confirmed speed horse of the whole lot?

At any rate, looks like a fun weekend… I better get back to work if I have a hope in hell of handicapping later in the week!

Posted by dana on Mar 04 2008    
Filed Under: Pyro, Fairgrounds, 2008, Jessie Holmes, Majestic Warrior, Nick Zito, Derby Trail, Race Replay, 3yo, YouTube, Racing

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To Make it Easier to Find Later…

Now that I have the whole “bandwagon” clarification out of the way, time to get back on it for one hot second.

Since there’s plenty of, dare I say, hype about Pyro, I wanted to compile it to make it easier to find later.

Race Replay (check):

DRF Recap (check)
Papa Beyer sagely reminds us not to discount War Pass just yet (check) [DRF+]

Papa Beyer discusses Pyro’s “jaw-dropping” closing kick (check) [DRF+]

Crist explains figs and pace (check) [Cristblog]

Added 02/12:
Randy Moss discusses the final quarter mile [NTRA]
Haskin discusses how Fairgrounds plays into the mix [Bloodhorse]

Added 02/14:
Plonk gives some context [ESPN]
Downey on the Beast of the Bayou [Downey Profile]
Watchmaker on Derby Fever [DRF]

Something else interesting to me this weekend, was that Indian Blessing rated really nicely in the Silverbulletday. This was the first time she didn’t just smoke the field from almost the get go. Watch for yourself…

Posted by dana on Feb 11 2008    
Filed Under: Fairgrounds, 2008, Indian Blessing, Wrap Up, Pyro, Race Replay, YouTube, Racing

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Pyro = Real Deal

I think a bandwagon just pulled up in front of my apartment… holy crap I can’t wait to watch that replay again. That was one serious win!

Posted by dana on Feb 09 2008    
Filed Under: Fairgrounds, 2008, Pyro, Derby Trail, Wooo!, Racing

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